top of page

Journal Articles (* member of my group)


C. Lester, T.J.W. Wagner, D. McNamara "A model of near-sea ice phytoplankton blooms", submitted, [eartharxiv preprint]

N. Sartore, T.J.W. Wagner, M. Siegfried, N. Pujara, L. Zoet "Calving of Ross Ice Shelf from wave erosion and hydrostatic stresses", The Cryosphere Discussions, submitted


D. Fahrner, D. A. Slater, [...], and T.J.W. Wagner, "A Frontal Ablation Dataset for 49 Tidewater Glaciers in Greenland", submitted

A. J. Crawford, G. Crocker, J. Smith, D. Mueller, T.J.W. Wagner, "Evaluating the importance of footloose-type failure in ice island deterioration modelling", Cold Regions Science and Technology, submitted


L. Roach, I. Eisenman, T.J.W. Wagner, A. Donohoe, "Asymmetry in the seasonal cycle of zonal-mean surface air temperature", Geophys. Res. Lett., 50, e2023GL103403 (2023)

E. Beer, I. Eisenman, T.J.W. Wagner, and E.C. Fine "A possible hysteresis in the Arctic Ocean due to release of subsurface heat during sea ice retreat",  J. Phys. Oceanogr., 53, 1323–1335 (2023).

A. P. Castagno, T.J.W. Wagner, M. R. Cape, et al  "Increased sea ice melt as a driver of enhanced Arctic phytoplankton blooming",  Global Change Biology, 29, 5087–5098 (2023)


M. R. England*, I. Eisenman, and T.J.W. Wagner, "Spurious climate impacts in coupled sea ice loss simulations"Journal of Climate, 35 (22), 3801-3811 (2022) [pdf]

L. Roach, I. Eisenman, T.J.W. Wagner, E. Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, C. Bitz, "Asymmetry in the seasonal cycle of Antarctic sea ice due to insolation"Nature Geoscience, 15, 277–281 (2022) [pdf]

T.J.W. Wagner, I. Eisenman, A. Ceroli*, and N. Constantinou "How winds and ocean currents influence the drift of floating objects"J. Phys. Oceanogr., 52 (5), 907–916 (2022) [pdf]


T. J. W. Wagner, I. Eisenman, and H. C. Mason*, "How sea ice motion influences sea ice extent"Geophys. Res. Lett., e2021GL093069 (2021) [pdf]

M. R. England*, I. Eisenman, N. Lutsko, and T.J.W. Wagner, "The recent emergence of Arctic Amplification" Geophys. Res. Lett., e2021GL094086 (2021) [pdf]

C. W. Lester*, T. J. W. Wagner, D. E. McNamara, and M. R. Cape, "The Influence of Meltwater on Phytoplankton Blooms Near the Sea-Ice Edge", Geophys. Res. Lett., 48 (2) e2020GL091758 (2021) [pdf]


M. R. England*, T. J. W. Wagner, and I. Eisenman, "Modeling the breakup of tabular icebergs", Science Advances, 6 (51) eabd1273 (2020) [pdf]

E. Beer, I. Eisenman, T. J. W. Wagner, "Polar amplification due to enhanced heat flux across the halocline", Geophys. Res. Lett., 47 (4) e2019GL086706 (2020) [pdf]

C. Mosbeux, T. J. W. Wagner, M. K. Becker, H. A. Fricker, "Viscous and elastic buoyancy stresses as drivers of ice-shelf calving" Journal of Glaciology, [pdf]


T. J. W. Wagner, F. Straneo, C. G. Richards, D. A. Slater, L. A. Stevens, S. B. Das, H. Singh, "Large spatial variations in the flux balance along the front of a Greenland tidewater glacier", The Cryosphere, 13, 911 (2019) [pdf]

C. Eayrs, D. Holland, D. Francis, T. J. W. Wagner, R. Kumar, X. Li, "Patterns of change in Antarctic sea ice extent from seasonal to longer timescales", Reviews of Geophysics, 57, 631 (2019) [pdf]


D. A. Slater, F. Straneo, S. B. Das, C. G. Richards, T. J. W. Wagner, P.W. Nienow, Three-dimensional fjord circulation doubles ocean melting of a Greenland tidewater glacier, Geophys. Res. Lett. 45 (22), 12,350-12,358 (2018) [pdf]

B. Birner, C. Buizert, T. J. W. Wagner, J.P. Severinghaus, The influence of layering and barometric pumping on firn air transport in a 2D model, The Cryosphere, 12, 20212037 (2018) [pdf]

T. J. W. Wagner, R.W. Dell, I. Eisenman, R.F. Keeling, and J.P. Severinghaus, Wave inhibition by sea ice enables trans-Atlantic ice rafting of debris during Heinrich Events, Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 495, 157–163 (2018) [pdf]


T. J. W. Wagner, A. A. Stern, R. W. Dell, and I. Eisenman, On the representation of capsizing in iceberg models, Ocean Modeling, 117, 88-96, (2017) [pdf]

T. J. W. Wagner, R. W. Dell, and I. Eisenman, An analytical model of iceberg drift, J. Phys. Oceanogr. 47, 1605-1616, (2017) [pdf]

T. J. W. Wagner and I. Eisenman, How climate model biases skew the distribution of iceberg meltwater, Geophys. Res. Lett., 44, (2017) [pdf]


A. J. Crawford, P. Wadhams, T. J.W. Wagner, A. A. Stern, E. P. 

Abrahamsen, I. Church, R. Bates, K. W. Nicholls, Journey of an Arctic ice island, Oceanography, 29 (2) 254–263 (2016) [pdf]

T. J. W. Wagner, T. Murray, T. D. James, and D. Vella, On the role of buoyant flexure in glacier calving, Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, 067247 (2016) [pdf]


T. J. W. Wagner and I. Eisenman, False Alarms: How Early Warning Signals Falsely Predict Abrupt Sea Ice Loss, Geophys. Res. Lett., 42 (23), 10,333-10,341 (2015) [pdf]


A. A. Stern, E. Johnson, D. M. Holland, T. J. W. Wagner, P. Wadhams, R. Bates, E. Povl Abrahamsen, K. W. Nicholls, A. Crawford, J. Gagnon, J.-E. Tremblay, Upwelling and downwelling around grounded icebergs, J. Geophys. Res. - Oceans, 120 (8)  5820–5835 (2015) [pdf]


T. J. W. Wagner and I. Eisenman, How model complexity influences the stability of the sea ice cover, J. Climate, 28 (10), 3998–4014  (2015) [pdf]

2014 and earlier

T. J. W. Wagner, P. Wadhams, R. Bates, P. Elosegui, A. Stern, D. Vella, E. P. Abrahamsen, A. Crawford, K. W. Nicholls, The 'footloose' mechansim: iceberg decay from hydrostatic stresses, Geophys. Res. Lett., 41 (15) 5522 (2014) [pdf]


T. J. W. Wagner and D. Vella, Switch on, switch off: stiction in nanoelectromechanical switchesNanotechnology, 24, 275501 (2013) [pdf]


T. J. W. Wagner and D. Vella,  The `Sticky Elastica': delamination blisters beyond small deformationsSoft Matter, 9, 1025 (2013) [pdf]


T. J. W. Wagner and D. Vella, The sensitivity of Graphene `Snap-Through' to substrate geometryAppl. Phys. Lett., 100, 233111 (2012) [pdf]


T. J. W. Wagner and D. Vella, Floating carpets and the delamination of elastic sheetsPhys. Rev. Lett.,107, 044301 (2011) [pdf]

Ph.D. Thesis

Slide Shows

Ice Dynamics and Paleo Seminar, British Antarctic Survey, 20 Nov 2020

"Drift and Decay of Icebergs"  (40 min talk) [pdf]


Applied Math Colloquium, UNC Chapel Hill, 7 Sept 2018

"Bending of Floating Sheets - from Microelectromechanics to the Breakup of Glacier Tongues"  (45 min talk) [pdf]

IGS Symposium on Timescales, Processes and Glacier Dynamics, 5 June 2018

"Mass balance along the front of a Greenland tidewater glacier"

(15 min talk) [pdf] 

UCSD Postdoc Symposium, 29 October 2017

"How icebergs traveled from North America to Morocco during the last ice age"

(5 min talk) [pdf] Awarded "Best Oral Presentation" at the symposium

FISP Symposium, UCSD, 31 October 2017

"How icebergs traveled from North America to Morocco during the last ice age" (20 min talk) [pdf]

EGU 2016,  Vienna, 21 April 2016 

"False alarms: How early warning signals falsely predict abrupt sea ice loss" [pdf]

EGU 2016 Vienna, 19 April 2016 

"On the role of buoyant flexure in glacier calving" [pdf]

Polar Seminar,  SIO - UCSD, 3 November 2015 

"On the role of buoyant flexure in glacier calving" [pdf]

Lunchtime Seminar,  GFDL - Princeton, 21 October 2015 

Part 1 - "Resolving Sea Ice Tipping Points" [pdf] 

Part 2 - "False Alarms During Sea Ice Retreat" [pdf]  

Sun-split on front of Store Glacier (Photo: Chris Packham)

bottom of page