submitted

​​​​

D.E. McNamara, E.A. Maroon, C.E. Lester, T.J.W. Wagner, "Sea surface temperature fingerprints fail to capture restoring dynamics of AMOC", submitted

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B.W.J. Miles, T.J.W. Wagner, A.J. Crawford, R.N. Ing, N. Homer, N. Gourmelen and R.G. Bingham, "Sea-ice decline exposes Antarctic ice shelves to unprecedented retreat by wave erosion", submitted [preprint]

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A.R. Desai, Á.F. Adames-Corraliza, L.E. Back, K. Heinlein, A. Hoffman, T. L’Ecuyer, E. Maroon, H. Prince, D.J. Vimont, T.J.W. Wagner, H. Zanowski, Z. Zibton, "Making the hidden seen: Inclusive graduate education in the atmospheric and oceanic sciences", submitted

​​​​

2026

​​​​​

N.B. Sartore*, M. Haseloff, and T.J.W. Wagner, "Effects of feedback between ice shelf geometry and basal melt on plume parameterizations", Journal of Glaciology, in press

​​

A. Heiser*, T.J.W. Wagner, M. Manizza, D. Carroll, C. Lester and D. Menemenlis, "How localized physical processes influence large-scale Arctic phytoplankton blooms near the sea ice", Limnology and Oceanography Letters, 1110.1002/lol2.70162 (2026)

​

A. Wolterman, T.J.W. Wagner, L.K. Zoet, and N. Pujara, "Wave erosion of ice cliffs: melt rate due to reflection of non-breaking surface waves", Journal of Fluid Mechanics, 1036:A29 (2026)

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2025​

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S.T. Salemink-Harry, B.J. Smith*, H.A. Dugan, J.A. Franck, T.J.W. Wagner, G.M. Wilkinson, L.K. Zoet, N. Pujara, "Light attenuation due to preferential orientation of particles in waves and shear flow: from bacteria to algae and microplastics​", Limnology and Oceanography, 10.1002/lno.70227 (2025)

​

B.J. Smith*, T.J.W. Wagner, H.A. Dugan, N. Pujara, G.M. Wilkinson, L.K. Zoet, and J.A. Franck, "How Ice Composition Controls Radiatively Driven Convection under Lake Ice", Geophys. Res. Lett. 2025GL117454 (2025)

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D.A. Slater and T.J.W. Wagner, "Calving from horizontal forces in a revised crevasse-depth framework", The Cryosphere, 19, 2475–2493 (2025)

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C.A.C. Gushulak, T.H. Bertram, H.A. Dugan, J.A. Franck, N. Pujara, M.N. Rogers, S. Salemink-Harry, B.J. Smith, T.J.W. Wagner, L.K. Zoet, G.M. Wilkinson, "The role of surface water waves on driving cyanobacterial blooms in lakes", Limnology and Oceanography Letters, 10.1002/lol2.70044 (2025)

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D. Fahrner, D.A. Slater,  A. KC, C. Cenedese, D.A. Sutherland , E. Enderlin,  F. de Jong, K.K. Kjeldsen, M. Wood, P. Nienow, S. Nowicki, and T.J.W. Wagner, "A Frontal Ablation Dataset for 49 Tidewater Glaciers in Greenland", Scientific Data, 12, 601 (2025)

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C.C. Zimmerman*, T.J.W. Wagner, E.A. Maroon, D.E. McNamara, "Slowed response of Atlantic meridional overturning circulation not a robust signal of collapse", Geophys. Res. Lett. 52, e2024GL112415 (2025)

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N.B. Sartore*, T.J.W. Wagner, M. Siegfried, N. Pujara, L. Zoet, "Wave erosion, frontal bending, and calving at Ross Ice Shelf", The Cryosphere 19, 249–265 (2025)

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2024

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C. Lester, T.J.W. Wagner, D.E. McNamara, "A model of near-sea ice phytoplankton blooms", Limnology and Oceanography Letters, doi.org/10.1002/lol2.10449 (2024)

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A.J. Crawford, G. Crocker, J. Smith, D. Mueller, T.J.W. Wagner, "Evaluating the importance of footloose-type failure in ice island deterioration modelling", Cold Regions Science and Technology, 228, 104325 (2024)

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2023

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L. Roach, I. Eisenman, T.J.W. Wagner, A. Donohoe, "Asymmetry in the seasonal cycle of zonal-mean surface air temperature", Geophys. Res. Lett., 50, e2023GL103403 (2023)

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E. Beer, I. Eisenman, T.J.W. Wagner, and E.C. Fine, "A possible hysteresis in the Arctic Ocean due to release of subsurface heat during sea ice retreat",  J. Phys. Oceanogr., 53, 1323–1335 (2023).

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A. P. Castagno*, T.J.W. Wagner, M. R. Cape, et al.,  "Increased sea ice melt as a driver of enhanced Arctic phytoplankton blooming",  Global Change Biology, 29, 5087–5098 (2023)

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2022

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M. R. England*, I. Eisenman, and T.J.W. Wagner, "Spurious climate impacts in coupled sea ice loss simulations", Journal of Climate, 35 (22), 3801-3811 (2022) [pdf]

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L. Roach, I. Eisenman, T.J.W. Wagner, E. Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, C. Bitz, "Asymmetry in the seasonal cycle of Antarctic sea ice due to insolation", Nature Geoscience, 15, 277–281 (2022) [pdf]

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T.J.W. Wagner, I. Eisenman, A. Ceroli*, and N. Constantinou "How winds and ocean currents influence the drift of floating objects", J. Phys. Oceanogr., 52 (5), 907–916 (2022) [pdf]

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2021

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T. J. W. Wagner, I. Eisenman, and H. C. Mason*, "How sea ice motion influences sea ice extent", Geophys. Res. Lett., e2021GL093069 (2021) [pdf]

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M. R. England*, I. Eisenman, N. Lutsko, and T.J.W. Wagner, "The recent emergence of Arctic Amplification",  Geophys. Res. Lett., e2021GL094086 (2021) [pdf]

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C. W. Lester*, T. J. W. Wagner, D. E. McNamara, and M. R. Cape, "The Influence of Meltwater on Phytoplankton Blooms Near the Sea-Ice Edge", Geophys. Res. Lett., 48 (2) e2020GL091758 (2021) [pdf]

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2020

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M. R. England*, T. J. W. Wagner, and I. Eisenman, "Modeling the breakup of tabular icebergs", Science Advances, 6 (51) eabd1273 (2020) [pdf]

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E. Beer, I. Eisenman, T. J. W. Wagner, "Polar amplification due to enhanced heat flux across the halocline", Geophys. Res. Lett., 47 (4) e2019GL086706 (2020) [pdf]

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C. Mosbeux, T. J. W. Wagner, M. K. Becker, H. A. Fricker, "Viscous and elastic buoyancy stresses as drivers of ice-shelf calving" Journal of Glaciology, doi.org/10.1017/jog.2020.35 [pdf]

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2019

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T. J. W. Wagner, F. Straneo, C. G. Richards, D. A. Slater, L. A. Stevens, S. B. Das, H. Singh, "Large spatial variations in the flux balance along the front of a Greenland tidewater glacier", The Cryosphere, 13, 911 (2019) [pdf]

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C. Eayrs, D. Holland, D. Francis, T. J. W. Wagner, R. Kumar, X. Li, "Patterns of change in Antarctic sea ice extent from seasonal to longer timescales", Reviews of Geophysics, 57, 631 (2019) [pdf]

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2018

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D. A. Slater, F. Straneo, S. B. Das, C. G. Richards, T. J. W. Wagner, P.W. Nienow, Three-dimensional fjord circulation doubles ocean melting of a Greenland tidewater glacier, Geophys. Res. Lett. 45 (22), 12,350-12,358 (2018) [pdf]

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B. Birner, C. Buizert, T. J. W. Wagner, J.P. Severinghaus, The influence of layering and barometric pumping on firn air transport in a 2D model, The Cryosphere, 12, 2021–2037 (2018) [pdf]

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T. J. W. Wagner, R.W. Dell, I. Eisenman, R.F. Keeling, and J.P. Severinghaus, Wave inhibition by sea ice enables trans-Atlantic ice rafting of debris during Heinrich Events, Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 495, 157–163 (2018) [pdf]

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2017

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T. J. W. Wagner, A. A. Stern, R. W. Dell, and I. Eisenman, On the representation of capsizing in iceberg models, Ocean Modeling, 117, 88-96, (2017) [pdf]

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T. J. W. Wagner, R. W. Dell, and I. Eisenman, An analytical model of iceberg drift, J. Phys. Oceanogr. 47, 1605-1616, (2017) [pdf]

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T. J. W. Wagner and I. Eisenman, How climate model biases skew the distribution of iceberg meltwater, Geophys. Res. Lett., 44, (2017) [pdf]

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2016

​

A. J. Crawford, P. Wadhams, T. J.W. Wagner, A. A. Stern, E. P. 

Abrahamsen, I. Church, R. Bates, K. W. Nicholls, Journey of an Arctic ice island, Oceanography, 29 (2) 254–263 (2016) [pdf]

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T. J. W. Wagner, T. Murray, T. D. James, and D. Vella, On the role of buoyant flexure in glacier calving, Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, 067247 (2016) [pdf]

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2015

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T. J. W. Wagner and I. Eisenman, False Alarms: How Early Warning Signals Falsely Predict Abrupt Sea Ice Loss, Geophys. Res. Lett., 42 (23), 10,333-10,341 (2015) [pdf]

 

A. A. Stern, E. Johnson, D. M. Holland, T. J. W. Wagner, P. Wadhams, R. Bates, E. Povl Abrahamsen, K. W. Nicholls, A. Crawford, J. Gagnon, J.-E. Tremblay, Upwelling and downwelling around grounded icebergs, J. Geophys. Res. - Oceans, 120 (8)  5820–5835 (2015) [pdf]

 

T. J. W. Wagner and I. Eisenman, How model complexity influences the stability of the sea ice cover, J. Climate, 28 (10), 3998–4014  (2015) [pdf]

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2014 and earlier

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T. J. W. Wagner, P. Wadhams, R. Bates, P. Elosegui, A. Stern, D. Vella, E. P. Abrahamsen, A. Crawford, K. W. Nicholls, The 'footloose' mechansim: iceberg decay from hydrostatic stresses, Geophys. Res. Lett., 41 (15) 5522 (2014) [pdf]

 

T. J. W. Wagner and D. Vella, Switch on, switch off: stiction in nanoelectromechanical switches, Nanotechnology, 24, 275501 (2013) [pdf]

 

T. J. W. Wagner and D. Vella,  The `Sticky Elastica': delamination blisters beyond small deformations, Soft Matter, 9, 1025 (2013) [pdf]

 

T. J. W. Wagner and D. Vella, The sensitivity of Graphene `Snap-Through' to substrate geometry, Appl. Phys. Lett., 100, 233111 (2012) [pdf]

 

T. J. W. Wagner and D. Vella, Floating carpets and the delamination of elastic sheets, Phys. Rev. Lett.,107, 044301 (2011) [pdf]